Past Events

February 2026

Thu 12 Feb 2026
14:00 - 15:00
Seminar: Dalia Chakrabarty (University of York): How Newton helps to forecast accurately
Centre for Probability, Statistics and Data Science

The state – i.e. "location" and "rate" – that a mechanistic system attains at a future time, is deterministically computable, given the state it is in now, since we know the potential function that causally connects any two states attained...
Wed 11 Feb 2026
13:00 - 14:00
Seminar: Alexandre Stauffer (King's College London): Non-monotone phase transition in interacting particle systems
Centre for Probability, Statistics and Data Science

In this talk we will discuss a reaction-diffusion particle system which has a non-monotone phase transition. I will explain the techniques used to analyze monotone models and how they can be refined to analyze non-monotone particle systems.Based on...

January 2026

Thu 29 Jan 2026
14:00 - 15:00
Seminar: Rowland Seymour (Birmingham): Comparative Judgement Modeling to Map Forced Marriage at Local Levels
Centre for Probability, Statistics and Data Science

Forcing someone into marriage against their will is a violation of their human rights. In 2021, the county of Nottinghamshire, UK, launched a strategy to tackle forced marriage and violence against women and girls. We set out to map the risk of...
Thu 22 Jan 2026
14:00 - 15:00
Seminar: Cristina Gualdani (QMUL): Robust identification in repeated games: An Empirical approach to algorithmic competition
Centre for Probability, Statistics and Data Science

We develop an econometric framework for recovering structural primitives—-such as marginal costs—-from price or quantity data generated by firms whose decisions are governed by reinforcement-learning algorithms. Guided by recent theory and...
Mon 12
 - Tue 13 Jan 2026
Image: Conference: Geometric Methods in Probability
Centre for Probability, Statistics and Data Science

Monday 12th January will consist of a London Probability Day (LPD), a one-day conference in probability, with confirmed speakers: Annika Lang (Chalmers University of Technology and the University of Gothenburg) Iolo Jones (Durham University) Justin Salez (Université Paris-Dauphine & PSL) Tuesday 13th January will consist of a research workshop as part of the Tangents and New Normals (TnN) network. On this second day we will have motivational problems advertised by...