Dr Nicola Perra

Reader in Applied Mathematics
School of Mathematical Sciences
Queen Mary University of London
Queen Mary University of London
Research
Network Science, Data Science, Digital Epidemiology
Interests
Nicola uses and develops methods in Mathematics, Network, Data, and Computational Social Science to characterise technological systems whose dynamics are driven by human behaviour (i.e., socio-technical systems). He develops mathematical and computational models to study dynamical processes taking place on top of them. He considers a wide variety of phenomena ranging from infectious diseases and cyber threats to ideas and communication. He tackles practical problems with clear immediate applications such as the development of realistic models to capture the spreading of infectious diseases, ideas, computer viruses, behavioural changes, and teams' success. He also considers more theoretical issues such as the study of time-varying networks and the development of novel epidemic models.Biography
In 2022, Nicola joined Queen Mary as a Reader in Applied Mathematics. Prior to this, he held the position of Associate Professor in Network Science at Greenwich University. Before that, he served as a postdoctoral research assistant at both Northeastern University and Indiana University. He earned his Ph.D. in Theoretical Physics from the University of Cagliari, Italy, in 2011.
Publications
Publications of specific relevance to the Centre for Complex Systems2025
Epydemix: An open-source Python package for epidemic modeling with integrated approximate Bayesian calibrationGozzi N Chinazzi M Davis JT Gioannini C Rossi L Ajelli M Perra N Vespignani A
Plos Computational Biology, Public Library of Science
19-11-2025
Social inequalities in vaccine coverage and their effects on epidemic spreadingAdriana M Marton K Perra N
Plos Computational Biology, Public Library of Science
13-10-2025
Controlling the spread of deception-based cyber-threats on time-varying networksGozzi N Perra N
In Arxiv
01-10-2025
Estimating behavioural relaxation induced by COVID-19 vaccines in the first months of their rolloutLi Y Gozzi N Perra N
Plos Computational Biology, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 21 (7)
07-07-2025
Comparative evaluation of behavioral epidemic models using COVID-19 dataGozzi N Perra N Vespignani A
Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences of The United States of America, Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences vol. 122 (24), e2421993122-e2421993122.
12-06-2025
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experienceFiandrino S Bizzotto A Guzzetta G Merler S Baldo F Valdano E Urdiales AM Bella A et al.
Epidemics, Elsevier vol. 50
14-02-2025
2024
Real-time Estimates of the Emergence and Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern: A Modeling ApproachGozzi N Chinazzi M Davis JT Mu K Pastore y Piontti A
Epidemics: The Journal on Infectious Disease Dynamics, Elsevier
03-12-2024
Bridging the digital divide: mapping Internet connectivity evolution, inequalities, and resilience in six Brazilian citiesGozzi N Comini N Perra N
Epj Data Science, Springer Nature vol. 13 (1), 69-69.
08-11-2024
Estimating behavioural relaxation induced by COVID-19 vaccines in the first months of their rolloutLi Y Gozzi N Perra N
Plos Computational Biology, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, 2024.11.07.24316893-2024.11.07.24316893.
07-11-2024
Generalized Contact Matrices Allow Integrating Socio-economic Variables into Epidemic ModelsManna A D'Amico L Tizzoni M Karsai M
Science Advances, American Association For The Advancement of Science
11-10-2024
A multiscale modeling framework for Scenario Modeling: Characterizing the heterogeneity of the COVID-19 epidemic in the USChinazzi M Davis JT Y Piontti AP Mu K Ajelli M Perra N
Epidemics, Elsevier vol. 47
05-03-2024
Modeling teams performance using deep representational learning on graphsCarli F Foini P Gozzi N
Epj Data Science, Springer Science and Business Media Llc vol. 13 (1)
19-01-2024
2023
Epidemic Spreading in Metapopulation Networks Coupled With Awareness PropagationGao S Dai X Wang L Perra N
IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) vol. 53 (12), 7686-7698.
29-11-2023
Behavioral Changes Associated With COVID-19 Vaccination: Cross-National Online SurveyDe Gaetano A Bajardi P Gozzi N Perra N Perrotta D
Journal of Medical Internet Research, JMIR Publications vol. 25
31-10-2023
Modeling self-propagating malware with epidemiological modelsChernikova A Gozzi N Perra N Boboila S Eliassi-Rad T Oprea A
Applied Network Science, Springer Nature vol. 8 (1), 52-52.
18-08-2023
Generalized contact matrices for epidemic modelingManna A Dall'Amico L Tizzoni M Karsai M Perra N
In Arxiv
29-06-2023
The adoption of non-pharmaceutical interventions and the role of digital infrastructure during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Colombia, Ecuador, and El SalvadorGozzi N Comini N Perra N
Epj Data Science, Springeropen
06-06-2023
Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine inequities: a modeling studyGozzi N Chinazzi M Dean NE Longini IMJ Perra N
Nature Communications, Nature Research
06-06-2023
The adoption of non-pharmaceutical interventions and the role of digital infrastructure during the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia, Ecuador, and El SalvadorGozzi N Comini N Perra N
Epj Data Science, Springer Science and Business Media Llc vol. 12 (1)
06-06-2023
The Effects of Local and Global Link Creation Mechanisms on Contagion Processes Unfolding on Time-Varying NetworksSun K Ubaldi E Zhang J Perra N
In Temporal Network Theory, Springer Nature 313-333.
01-01-2023
2022
Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine allocation inequities: a modeling studyGozzi N Chinazzi M Dean NE Longini IM Perra N
, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
18-11-2022
Macroscopic properties of buyer-seller networks in online marketplacesBracci A Boehnke J ElBahrawy A Perra N
Pnas Nexus, Oxford University Press
06-10-2022
Modeling Self-Propagating Malware with Epidemiological ModelsChernikova A Gozzi N Boboila S Perra N
In Arxiv
05-08-2022
The Concept of Decentralization Through Time and Disciplines: A Quantitative ExplorationDi Bona G Bracci A Perra N Baronchelli A
In Arxiv
28-07-2022
Modeling Teams Performance Using Deep Representational Learning on GraphsCarli F Foini P Gozzi N Perra N
In Arxiv
29-06-2022
Cyber Network Resilience against Self-Propagating Malware AttacksChernikova A Gozzi N Boboila S Loughner J Wilden M Perra N
In Arxiv
27-06-2022
Anatomy of the first six months of COVID-19 vaccination campaign in ItalyGozzi N Chinazzi M Mu K Pastore y Piontti A
Plos Computational Biology, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 18 (5)
25-05-2022
Addressing the socioeconomic divide in computational modeling for infectious diseasesPerra N Tizzoni M Nsoesie E Karsai M Bansal S
Nature Communications, Nature Research
24-05-2022
Cyber Network Resilience Against Self-Propagating Malware AttacksChernikova A Gozzi N Boboila S Angadi P Loughner J Perra N
In Computer Security – Esorics 2022, Springer Nature 531-550.
01-01-2022
2021
Macroscopic properties of buyer-seller networks in online marketplacesBracci A Boehnke J ElBahrawy A
In Arxiv
16-12-2021
Infodemics: A new challenge for public healthBriand SC Cinelli M Nguyen T Lewis R Prybylski D Valensise CM Colizza V Tozzi AE et al.
Cell, Elsevier vol. 184 (25), 6010-6014.
01-12-2021
Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 waveDavis JT Chinazzi M Perra N Pastore y Piontti A Ajelli M Dean NE Gioannini C Litvinova M et al.
Nature, Springer Nature vol. 600 (7887), 127-132.
25-10-2021
Ethical implications of network data in business and management settingsCronin B Perra N Rocha LEC Zhu Z Gorgoni S
Social Networks, Elsevier vol. 67, 29-40.
01-10-2021
The importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 vaccine rolloutGozzi N Bajardi P Perra N
Plos Computational Biology, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 17 (9)
10-09-2021
Self-initiated behavioral change and disease resurgence on activity-driven networksGozzi N Scudeler M Perra N
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 104 (1)
01-07-2021
Estimating the effect of social inequalities on the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de ChileGozzi N Tizzoni M Chinazzi M Vespignani A
Nature Communications, Springer Nature vol. 12 (1)
23-04-2021
Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave in Europe and the United StatesDavis JT Chinazzi M Perra N Mu K Pastore y Piontti A Dean NE Gioannini C Litvinova M et al.
, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
26-03-2021
Non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: A reviewPerra N
Physics Reports, Elsevier vol. 913, 1-52.
13-02-2021
2020
Non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid reviewPerra N
In Arxiv
30-12-2020
Self-initiated behavioural change and disease resurgence on activity-driven networksGozzi N Scudeler M Paolotti D Baronchelli A
In Arxiv
07-11-2020
Collective Response to Media Coverage of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Reddit and Wikipedia: Mixed-Methods AnalysisGozzi N Tizzani M Starnini M Ciulla F Paolotti D Panisson A
Journal of Medical Internet Research, JMIR Publications vol. 22 (10)
12-10-2020
Estimating the establishment of local transmission and the cryptic phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USADavis JT Chinazzi M Perra N Mu K Pastore y Piontti A Ajelli M Dean NE Litvinova M et al.
, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
07-07-2020
Finding Patient Zero: Learning Contagion Source with Graph Neural NetworksShah C Dehmamy N Perra N Chinazzi M Barabási A-L Vespignani A
In Arxiv
21-06-2020
Collective response to the media coverage of COVID-19 Pandemic on Reddit and WikipediaGozzi N Tizzani M Starnini M Ciulla F Panisson A
In Arxiv
08-06-2020
Towards a data-driven characterization of behavioral changes induced by the seasonal fluGozzi N Perrotta D Paolotti D
Plos Computational Biology, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 16 (5)
13-05-2020
Phase transitions in information spreading on structured populationsDavis JT Perra N Moreno Y
Nature Physics, Springer Nature vol. 16 (5), 590-596.
02-03-2020
Towards a data-driven characterization of behavioral changes induced by the seasonal fluGozzi N Perrotta D Paolotti D
In Arxiv
03-02-2020
2019
Explore with caution: mapping the evolution of scientific interest in physicsAleta A Meloni S
Epj Data Science, Springer Nature vol. 8 (1)
11-09-2019
Modelling opinion dynamics in the age of algorithmic personalisationPerra N Rocha LEC
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 9 (1)
13-05-2019
Spreading of computer viruses on time-varying networksBrett T Loukas G Moreno Y
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 99 (5)
01-05-2019
Explore with caution: mapping the evolution of scientific interest in PhysicsAleta A Meloni S Perra N
In Arxiv
12-04-2019
The spreading of computer viruses on time-varying networksBrett T Loukas G Moreno Y
In Arxiv
09-01-2019
The Effects of Local and Global Link Creation Mechanisms on Contagion Processes Unfolding on Time-Varying NetworksSun K Ubaldi E Karsai M Perra N
In Temporal Network Theory, Springer Nature 305-324.
01-01-2019
Charting the Next Pandemic, Modeling Infectious Disease Spreading in the Data Science AgePastore y Piontti A Perra N Rossi L
01-01-2019
2018
Epidemic spreading on time-varying multiplex networksLiu Q-H Xiong X Zhang Q
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 98 (6)
01-12-2018
Modelling Opinion Dynamics in the Age of Algorithmic PersonalisationPerra N Rocha LEC
In Arxiv
08-11-2018
Epidemic spreading on time-varying multiplex networksLiu Q-H Xiong X Zhang Q Perra N
In Arxiv
11-08-2018
Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networksNadini M Sun K Ubaldi E Starnini M
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 8 (1)
05-02-2018
Resilience management during large-scale epidemic outbreaksMassaro E Ganin A Perra N
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 8 (1)
30-01-2018
Attention on Weak Ties in Social and Communication NetworksWeng L Karsai M Perra N
In Complex Spreading Phenomena in Social Systems, Springer Nature 213-228.
01-01-2018
2017
Combining Participatory Influenza Surveillance with Modeling and Forecasting: Three Alternative ApproachesBrownstein JS Chu S Marathe A Marathe MV Nguyen AT Paolotti D Perrotta D Vespignani A et al.
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance, JMIR Publications vol. 3 (4)
01-11-2017
Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networksNadini M Sun K Ubaldi E Rizzo A
In Arxiv
03-10-2017
Resilience management during large-scale epidemic outbreaksMassaro E Perra N Vespignani A
In Arxiv
02-10-2017
Epidemic spreading on activity-driven networks with attractivenessPozzana I Sun K
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 96 (4)
01-10-2017
Random walks on activity-driven networks with attractivenessAlessandretti L Baronchelli A
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 95 (5)
01-05-2017
Burstiness and tie activation strategies in time-varying social networksUbaldi E Vezzani A Karsai M Perra N
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 7 (1)
13-04-2017
Forecasting Seasonal Influenza Fusing Digital Indicators and a Mechanistic Disease ModelZhang Q Perra N Perrotta D Tizzoni M
Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on World Wide Web., 311-319.
03-04-2017
Epidemic Spreading on Activity-Driven Networks with AttractivenessPozzana I Sun K
In Arxiv
07-03-2017
Random walks on activity-driven networks with attractivenessAlessandretti L Sun K Baronchelli A
In Arxiv
23-01-2017
Control Strategies of Contagion Processes in Time-Varying NetworksKarsai M
In Temporal Network Epidemiology, Springer Nature 179-197.
01-01-2017
2016
Statistical physics of vaccinationWang Z Bauch CT Bhattacharyya S d’Onofrio A Manfredi P Perc M Perra N Salathé M
Physics Reports, Elsevier vol. 664, 1-113.
01-12-2016
Asymptotic theory of time-varying social networks with heterogeneous activity and tie allocationUbaldi E Perra N Karsai M Vezzani A Burioni R
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 6 (1)
24-10-2016
The spreading of infectious diseases in modern socio-technical systems Comment on “Pattern transitions in spatial epidemics: Mechanisms and emergent properties” by Gui-Quan Sun et al.Perra N
Physics of Life Reviews, Elsevier vol. 19, 87-89.
19-09-2016
Statistical physics of vaccinationWang Z Bauch CT Bhattacharyya S d'Onofrio A Manfredi P Perc M Perra N
In Arxiv
31-08-2016
Burstiness and tie reinforcement in time varying social networksUbaldi E Vezzani A Karsai M Perra N
In Arxiv
29-07-2016
Results from the centers for disease control and prevention’s predict the 2013–2014 Influenza Season ChallengeBiggerstaff M Alper D Dredze M Fox S Fung IC-H Hickmann KS Lewis B Rosenfeld R et al.
Bmc Infectious Diseases, Springer Nature vol. 16 (1)
22-07-2016
The dynamics of information-driven coordination phenomena: A transfer entropy analysisBorge-Holthoefer J Perra N Gonçalves B Arenas A Moreno Y
Science Advances, American Association For The Advancement of Science (Aaas) vol. 2 (4)
01-04-2016
2015
Contrasting effects of strong ties on SIR and SIS processes in temporal networksSun K Baronchelli A
The European Physical Journal B, Springer Nature vol. 88 (12)
01-12-2015
Reports of the 2015 Workshops Held at the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social MediaGarcia D Halegoua G Mejova Y Perra N Pfeffer J Weber I Zia L
AI Magazine. vol. 36 (4), 119-123.
01-12-2015
The Scaling of Human Contacts and Epidemic Processes in Metapopulation NetworksTizzoni M Sun K Karsai M
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 5 (1)
19-10-2015
Committed activists and the reshaping of status-quo social consensusMistry D Zhang Q Baronchelli A
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 92 (4)
01-10-2015
Asymptotic theory for the dynamic of networks with heterogenous social capital allocationUbaldi E Perra N Karsai M Vezzani A
In Arxiv
03-09-2015
The dynamic of information-driven coordination phenomena: a transfer entropy analysisBorge-Holthoefer J Perra N Gonçalves B González-Bailón S Arenas A Vespignani A
In Arxiv
22-07-2015
Attention on Weak Ties in Social and Communication NetworksWeng L Karsai M Menczer F
In Arxiv
10-05-2015
Committed activists and the reshaping of status-quo social consensusMistry D Zhang Q Perra N Baronchelli A
In Arxiv
08-05-2015
VoroGraphDunne C Muller M Perra N
Proceedings of the 33rd Annual ACM Conference Extended Abstracts on Human Factors in Computing Systems., 255-258.
18-04-2015
Social Data Mining and Seasonal Influenza Forecasts: The FluOutlook PlatformZhang Q Gioannini C Paolotti D Perra N Perrotta D Tizzoni M
Lecture Notes in Computer Science. vol. 9286, 237-240.
01-01-2015
PrefaceGonçalves B Karsai M
Aaai Workshop Technical Report. vol. WS-15-17
01-01-2015
Modeling and Predicting Human Infectious DiseasesPerra N Gonçalves B
In Social Phenomena, Springer Nature 59-83.
01-01-2015
IntroductionGonçalves B Perra N
In Social Phenomena, Springer Nature 1-12.
01-01-2015
2014
The Scaling of Human Contacts in Reaction-Diffusion Processes on Heterogeneous Metapopulation NetworksTizzoni M Sun K Benusiglio D
In Arxiv
26-11-2014
The role of endogenous and exogenous mechanisms in the formation of R&D networksTomasello MV Perra N Karsai M Schweitzer F
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 4 (1)
14-07-2014
Damage detection via shortest-path network samplingCiulla F Perra N Baronchelli A
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 89 (5)
01-05-2014
Contrasting Effects of Strong Ties on SIR and SIS Processes in Temporal NetworksSun K Baronchelli A
In Arxiv
03-04-2014
The infection tree of global epidemicsPIONTTI APY DA COSTA GOMES MF SAMAY N PERRA N
Network Science, Cambridge University Press (Cup) vol. 2 (1), 132-137.
01-04-2014
Controlling Contagion Processes in Activity Driven NetworksLiu S Perra N Karsai M
Physical Review Letters, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 112 (11)
19-03-2014
The role of endogenous and exogenous mechanisms in the formation of R&D networksTomasello MV Perra N Tessone CJ Karsai M
In Arxiv
17-03-2014
Time varying networks and the weakness of strong tiesKarsai M Perra N
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 4 (1)
10-02-2014
Damage detection via shortest path network samplingCiulla F Perra N Baronchelli A
In Arxiv
27-01-2014
2013
Quantifying the effect of temporal resolution on time-varying networksRibeiro B Baronchelli A
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 3 (1)
21-10-2013
Controlling Contagion Processes in Time-Varying NetworksLiu S Perra N Karsai M
In Arxiv
26-09-2013
Social Networks, Contagion Processes and the Spreading of Infectious DiseasesGonçalves B Perra N
In Handbook of Systems Biology 515-527.
29-08-2013
The role of information diffusion in the evolution of social networksWeng L Ratkiewicz J Perra N Gonçalves B Castillo C Bonchi F
Proceedings of the 19th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining., 356-364.
11-08-2013
Time varying networks and the weakness of strong tiesKarsai M Vespignani A
In Arxiv
24-03-2013
Contagion dynamics in time-varying metapopulation networksLiu S-Y Baronchelli A Perra N
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 87 (3)
01-03-2013
Characterizing scientific production and consumption in PhysicsZhang Q Perra N Goncalves B Vespignani A
In Arxiv
26-02-2013
The Role of Information Diffusion in the Evolution of Social NetworksWeng L Ratkiewicz J Perra N Gonçalves B Bonchi F Schifanella R Flammini A
In Arxiv
25-02-2013
The Twitter of Babel: Mapping World Languages through Microblogging PlatformsMocanu D Baronchelli A Perra N Gonçalves B Zhang Q
Plos One, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 8 (4)
01-01-2013
Characterizing scientific production and consumption in PhysicsZhang Q Perra N Ciulla F
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 3 (1)
01-01-2013
Chapter 27 Social Networks, Contagion Processes and the Spreading of Infectious DiseasesGonçalves B Perra N
In Handbook of Systems Biology, Elsevier 515-527.
01-01-2013
2012
The Twitter of Babel: Mapping World Languages through Microblogging PlatformsMocanu D Baronchelli A Gonçalves B
In Arxiv
20-12-2012
Random Walks and Search in Time-Varying NetworksPerra N Baronchelli A Gonçalves B
Physical Review Letters, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 109 (23)
04-12-2012
Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdmTizzoni M Bajardi P Poletto C Ramasco JJ Balcan D Gonçalves B
Bmc Medicine, Springer Nature vol. 10 (1)
01-12-2012
Quantifying the effect of temporal resolution on time-varying networksRibeiro B Baronchelli A
In Arxiv
29-11-2012
Modeling Contact and Mobility Based Social Response to the Spreading of Infectious DiseasesPerra N
In Modeling The Interplay Between Human Behavior and The Spread of Infectious Diseases, Springer Nature 103-123.
28-11-2012
Contagion dynamics in time-varying metapopulation networksLiu S Baronchelli A
In Arxiv
09-10-2012
Beating the news using social media: the case study of American IdolCiulla F Mocanu D Baronchelli A Gonçalves B
Epj Data Science, Springer Nature vol. 1 (1)
31-07-2012
Random walks and search in time-varying networksPerra N Mocanu D Gonçalves B
In Arxiv
13-06-2012
Beating the news using Social Media: the case study of American IdolCiulla F Mocanu D Baronchelli A Gonçalves B
In Arxiv
20-05-2012
Activity driven modeling of time varying networksPerra N Gonçalves B Pastor-Satorras R
In Arxiv
23-03-2012
Activity driven modeling of time varying networksPerra N Gonçalves B
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 2 (1)
01-01-2012
2011
Towards a characterization of behavior-disease modelsPerra N Balcan D Gonçalves B
In Arxiv
05-07-2011
Validation of Dunbar's number in Twitter conversationsGoncalves B Perra N Vespignani A
In Arxiv
25-05-2011
Modeling human mobility responses to the large-scale spreading of infectious diseasesMeloni S Perra N Arenas A Gómez S Moreno Y
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 1 (1)
01-01-2011
Towards a Characterization of Behavior-Disease ModelsPerra N Balcan D Gonçalves B
Plos One, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 6 (8)
01-01-2011
Modeling Users' Activity on Twitter Networks: Validation of Dunbar's NumberGonçalves B Perra N
Plos One, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 6 (8)
01-01-2011
2010
Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern HemisphereBajardi P Poletto C Balcan D Hu H Ramasco JJ Paolotti D Perra N Tizzoni M et al.
In Arxiv
03-02-2010
2009
Modeling the critical care demand and antibiotics resources needed during the Fall 2009 wave of influenza A(H1N1) pandemicBalcan D Colizza V Singer AC Chouaid C Hu H Gonçalves B Poletto C Ramasco JJ et al.
Plos Currents, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 1
07-12-2009
Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic modelColizza V Vespignani A Perra N Poletto C Gonçalves B Hu H Van den Broeck W Tizzoni M
Plos Currents, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 1
11-11-2009
PageRank equation and localization in the WWWPerra N Zlatić V Chessa A Conti C
Epl (Europhysics Letters), Iop Publishing vol. 88 (4)
01-11-2009
Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobilityBalcan D Hu H Goncalves B Bajardi P Poletto C Ramasco JJ Paolotti D Broeck WVD et al.
In Arxiv
14-09-2009
Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobilityBalcan D Hu H Goncalves B Bajardi P Ramasco JJ Perra N Tizzoni M Colizza V et al.
Bmc Medicine, Springer Nature vol. 7 (1)
10-09-2009
Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern HemisphereBajardi P Poletto C Balcan D Hu H Goncalves B Ramasco JJ Paolotti D Perra N et al.
Emerging Health Threats Journal, Taylor & Francis vol. 2 (1)
11-04-2009
2008
Spectral centrality measures in complex networksPerra N
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 78 (3)
01-09-2008
Schroedinger-like PageRank equation and localization in the WWWPerra N Zlatic V Chessa A Conti C Donato D
In Arxiv
28-07-2008
Spectral centrality measures in complex networksPerra N
In Arxiv
21-05-2008
Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern HemisphereBajardi P Poletto C Balcan D Hu H Goncalves B Ramasco J Paolotti D Perra N et al.
Emerging Health Threats Journal, Taylor & Francis vol. 2
01-01-2008
Bridging the Digital Divide: Mapping Internet Connectivity Evolution, Inequalities, and Resilience in six Brazilian CitiesGozzi N Comini N Perra N
Epj Data Science, Springeropen
Comparative Evaluation of Behavioral-Epidemic Models Using COVID-19 DataGozzi N Perra N Vespignani A
Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences, National Academy of Sciences
Social inequalities in vaccine coverage and their effects on epidemic spreadingManna A Karsai M Perra N
In Medrxiv
Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: the Influcast experienceFiandrino S Bizzotto A Guzzetta G Merler S Baldo F Valdano E Urdiales AM Bella A et al.
Epidemics: The Journal on Infectious Disease Dynamics, Elsevier
Epydemix: An open-source Python package for epidemic modeling with integrated approximate Bayesian calibrationGozzi N Chinazzi M Davis JT Gioannini C Rossi L Ajelli M Perra N Vespignani A
In Medrxiv
Performance evaluation of RespiCast ensemble forecasts for primary care syndromic indicators of viral respiratory disease in Europe during the 2023/24 winter seasonGozzi N Gioannini C Milano P Vismara I Rossi L Quaggiotto M Fiandrino S Paolotti D et al.
In Medrxiv
Assessing dengue knowledge, attitudes and preventive practices using participatory surveillance cohortsCalmon L de Gaetano A Mazzoli M Gozzi N Frigione G Debin M Turbelin C Marmorat R et al.
In Medrxiv
Fairness in infectious disease modelingLi Y Gozzi N Perra N Tizzoni M
In Medrxiv
Preliminary modeling estimates of the relative transmissibility and immune escape of the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern in South AfricaGozzi N Chinazzi M Davis JT Mu K Pastore y Piontti A Vespignani A Perra N
In Medrxiv
Anatomy of the first six months of COVID-19 Vaccination Campaign in ItalyGozzi N Chinazzi M Davis JT Mu K Pastore y Piontti A Ajelli M Perra N Vespignani A
In Medrxiv
Estimating the spreading and dominance of SARS-CoV-2 VOC 202012/01 (lineage B.1.1.7) across EuropeGozzi N Chinazzi M Davis JT Mu K Pastore y Piontti A Ajelli M Perra N Vespignani A
In Medrxiv
The importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 vaccine rolloutGozzi N Bajardi P Perra N
In Medrxiv
Estimating the effect of social inequalities in the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de ChileGozzi N Tizzoni M Chinazzi M Ferres L Vespignani A Perra N
In Medrxiv
Collective Response to Media Coverage of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Reddit and Wikipedia: Mixed-Methods Analysis (Preprint)Gozzi N Tizzani M Starnini M Ciulla F Paolotti D Panisson A Perra N
In JMIR Preprints
Behavioral Changes Associated With COVID-19 Vaccination: Cross-National Online Survey (Preprint)De Gaetano A Bajardi P Gozzi N Perra N Perrotta D Paolotti D
In JMIR Preprints
The Concept of Decentralization Through Time and Disciplines: A Quantitative ExplorationPerra N Di Bona G Latora V Bracci A Baronchelli A
Epj Data Science, Springeropen
The structure of segregation in co-authorship networks and its impact on scientific productionPerra N Jamarillo AM Williams HTP Menezes R
Epj Data Science, Springeropen
Grants
Grants of specific relevance to the Centre for Complex Systems
Nicola Perra - US Army Lab researchNicola Perra
£71,665 U.S. Army Combat Capabilities Development Command Army Research Laboratory
24-06-2024 - 31-12-2025
Research Group
PhD Students
- Chenyang Li
Networks Analysis of Innovation Ecosystems - Yuhan Li
Modelling Epidemic Spreading Processes in Adaptive Systems. - Douhan Wang
Including Socioeconomic Indicators Into Epidemic Models
News
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